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The latest news:


Fed Interest Rates and GDP reports on focus to the end of the week

The EURUSD trading found a good support line at 1.2055. Although EURUSD trading is possible down correction to 1.2038 where is the next support level the trend into upward direction starts again. The most important coming events that will take effect over the trading crosses are Fed Interest Rate Decision, Fed's Monetary Policy Statement and FOMC Press Conference. The policy trading probably will remain unchanged with focus over the stimulus of the economy. Tomorrow the most important events are Germany unemployment and the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices. Do not forget that much more important is Gross Domestic Product Annualized for Q1 on Thursday 12:30 GMT where the consensus is for 6.5% growth compared to 4.3% in the prior period. On Friday GDP date will be released for Germany and the Euro Zone too. trading strategy is to use these two key support levels of 1.2038 and 1.2055 as stops and open long positions with targets above 1.2130 in the next two days or target 1.2150 in the next couple of days.

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EURUSD to test 1.20 in the next few days

The Dollar is on the way to make temporary recovery against the Euro in the next couple of hours. The recovery is based on technical correction.  EURUSD trend in the mid-term period remains upward. There are some key fundamental events that can move the market. The first one and most important is the U.S. Retail Sales for March. It is expecting a strong recovery up to 5.9% compared with -2.7% in the prior month. During the same time of Retail Sales release is expecting Initial Claims. The weekly number of people filing first-time claims for state unemployment insurance may drop to 700K compared to 744 prior month. For tomorrow morning Germany's Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices is expecting at the same level of 2.0%. All these factors are not enough to support the Dollar at the end of this week and beginning of the new week. expects to see EURUSD to test 1.20 and above. In a support level we recommend to use the level of 1.1915.

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EURUSD Trading strategy this week

The strong data for U.S. ISM Services today for March of 63.7 very higher than the key border of 50.00 do not help the Dollar. ISM Services consensus expectation was 58.5 also higher than one month earlier of 55.3. The potential of the Dollar ends at levels below 1.17 and many investors open long positions with expectations to hold EURUSD long above 1.20. Tomorrow (Tuesday 6th) is expecting EuroZone Unemployment Rate for February as the consensus and prior month report are equal to 8.1%. EURUSD found very strong support at 1.1704 and 1.1748. recommends to hold long positions and use the level below 1.1748 for stop. The target is a long-term of 1.20 and may happen in the mid of April 2021.

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