EURUSD down below the level of 1.12 as World-Signals.com forecasts by the last week. This week there are two important events from United States - Durable Orders on Thursday at 13:30 GMT and GDP Second Estimate on Friday at 13:30 GMT. In Europe the first key events start at 8:30 GMT EU Markit Manufacturing PMI, Markit Services PMI and Markit PMI Composite. On Tuesday at 6:00 GMT is Germany GDP, at 9:00 GMT Germany ZEW Survey and Eurogroup meeting in the day. The next key events that we recommend to focus are on Wednesday at 8:00 GMT Germany IFO reports. The key support level for EURUSD is at 1.1143 as World-Signals.com expects to see test of the support level. The chances for break below are about 50%. The trading strategy this week is to trade within the range of 1.1150 and 1.1280. Also you can keep your short positions and may expect breaks below 1.1143. The investors continue to turn to the dollar as is widely expecting Fed to hike the interest rates in June 2016.
Last week Euro/Dollar down below the key support level of 1.1330 and the recovery of the dollar will continue. World-Signals.com expected this scenario as for the coming business week the investors probably will continue to buy dollars. The key events that will move the markets are on Wednesday FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT and Non-monetary policy's ECB meeting at 7:00 GMT. Also the focus is over Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts on Thursday at 11:30 GMT, Germany PPI on Friday at 6:00 GMT and United States CPI, Core CPI on Tuesday at 13:30 GMT and Industrial Production at 14:15 GMT. The investors will expect new stimulus for the Euro Zone growth. In the technical analysis shows key support levels of 1.1220 and 1.1145. The main resistance level is at 1.1445. World-Signals.com trading strategy this week is to open short positions and expect test the levels below 1.12.
Last week on 3rd of May EURUSD reach to the top level of 1.1616 and found strong resistance. In the last few days of the week the dollar recovered to the level of 1.14. World-Signals.com expects to see new recovery of the dollar in the week. In United States the investor focus is over the expecting PPI and Retail Sales on Friday at 13:30 GMT. In Europe the first key event for the week is on Tuesday Germany Trade Balance, Imports, Exports and Current Account at 6:00 GMT. On Thursday the focus is over EU Industrial Production at 9:00 GMT while for Friday the most important events are Germany GDP and CPI at 6:00 GMT and EuroZone GDP at 9:00 GMT. The dollar will continue to recovery as the key support level is at 1.1330. World-Signals.com recommends using this level to sell Euro for levels down to 1.12 or to use 1.1330 to open long positions if not break below.
The latest news and investors forecasts about the Fed interest rates politic move the markets. The Dollar losses against the Euro are caused by the cutting expectations of interest rates hikes in 2016. The first expectation was for 4 hikes in the year while these days are talking for one or maximum two interest rates correction into upward direction. World-Signals.com continues to expect maximum one interest rates raise in 2016. The major economic events that will move the market this week are on Friday US Nonfarm Payrolls and Unemployment Rate at 12:30 GMT. Also from United States the other key events are ISM Index on Monday at 14:00 GMT and Wednesday reports for Trade Balance at 12:30 GMT and ISM Services at 14:00 GMT. In Europe on Monday the focus is over EU Markit Manufacturing PMI at 8:00 GMT and Germany Markit Manufacturing PMI at 7:55 GMT. On Tuesday the most important events are PPI at 9:00 GMT and European Commission Releases Economic Growth Forecasts in unknown hour. On Wednesday at 7:00 GMT is Non-monetary policy's ECB meeting followed by Germany Markit Services at 7:55 GMT and EU Markit Services at 8:00 GMT. Any negative news by United States will signal for no more interest rates changes or maximum one raise with 25 bps till the end of the year. EURUSD is close to the key resistance at 1.1460 as World-Signals.com expects to see test above the level this week. The support levels are 1.1310 and 1.1140.
"World-Signals.com trading strategy for the week is to open short positions using good tops for bigger profits." This was the trading strategy by the last business week. Few weeks early we predicted that the upward trend of EURUSD will finish. The dollar will recovery in the next few weeks as may test the levels below 1.10 soon. This week focus over the coming events: On Monday New Home Sales at 14:00 GMT, on Tuesday Durable Orders at 13:30 and Consumer Confidence at 15:00 GMT. These reports may support the dollar with positive data for United States. The most important event is on Wednesday FOMC Rate Decision at 18:00 GMT as is expecting to leave the interest rates unchanged at 0.50% but the time for new interest rates hike is short. The next most important event is GDP-Adv. on Thursday at 13:30 GMT. In Europe the first important event is on Monday Germany IFO reports at 8:00 GMT and Gfk Consumer Confidence Survey on Wednesday at 6:00 GMT. The most important events are on Thursday at 7:55 GMT Germany Unemployment Rate and Euro Zone Consumer Confidence, Services Sentiment, Industrial Confidence, Business Climate, Economic Sentiment Indicator at 9:00 GMT. Also focus over Thursday Germany CPI at 12:00 GMT and Friday Euro Zone Unemployment Rate and CPI at 9:00 GMT. The technical analysis shows the first support at 1.1143 and resistance at 1.1280. World-Signals.com trading strategy is to keep short positions with target 1.1143 and next target at 1.1070.
In the coming business week according to World-Signals.com there are not important U.S. events except in the housing sector on Tuesday and Wednesday. In the Euro Zone the first important event is on Tuesday 9:00 GMT for Germany - ZEW Survey. On 6:00 GMT on Wednesday focus over Germany PPI. The most important events for the week are on Thursday at 11:45 GMT ECB Interest Rate Decision and ECB Monetary policy statement and press conference at 12:30 GMT. In the last day of the business week the key events are from Germany, Markit PMI Composite, Markit Services PMI, Markit Manufacturing PMI at 7:30 GMT and IFO data at 8:00 GMT. Last week EURUSD breaks below a key support at 1.1320 and cut the strong upward trend that continue since the beginning of March. The key support is at 1.1143 while the resistance is at 1.1460. World-Signals.com trading strategy for the week is to open short positions using good tops for bigger profits. The investors will focus over ECB Interest rates politic and the pressconference on Thursday.
After the bottom of Crude Oil (New York) at 35.22 since 5th of April 2016 started uptrend that continue after the key resistance level of 41.85. The uptrend continues almost 10-days but slowly in the last two days. The first resistance level is at 42.40 according to World-Signals.com. If the Crude Oil price breaks above the resistance level the trend may continue next week. In the last business day of the week there are important event for the energy sector - Baker Hughes US Oil Rig Count. (The Baker Hughes Rig Counts are an important business barometer for the drilling industry and its suppliers). The date is expecting to release at 17:00 GMT and may show the end of the downward movement or slow down the trend starting from 675 in August 2015 to 354 last week. World-Signals.com trading strategy is to trade long positions to the price of 42.40 and after the news release to open short positions. If the Crude Oil breaks above 42.40 keep long positions.
The economic and interest rates politic as a major factor for the markets this week is expecting by World-Signals.com. There are couples of events that will send signals for the situation in USA and Euro Zone. The first key event for the week is on Tuesday Germany CPI at 6:00 GMT. On Wednesday is the very important Fed's Beige Book at 18:00 GMT also at the same day at 12:30 GMT expects PPI, Core PPI and Retail Sales. On Thursday focus in the morning Euro Zone CPI at 9:00 GMT and U.S. CPI and Core CPI at 12:30 GMT. In the last business day of the week pay attention over China's GDP for first quarter at 2:00 GMT. China's report is a signal for the total economic growth. Later expects Euro Zone Trade Balance at 9:00 GMT and Industrial Production for United States at 13:15 GMT. The technical analysis shows two important support levels at 1.1320 and 1.1345. If EURUSD breaks below 1.1320 World-Signals.com predict the end of the uptrend. Otherwise use the levels between 1.1320 and 1.1345 to open long positions with target 1.1495. The major resistance levels are 1.1453 and 1.1495.